Community research · Posted article
Variational $VAR pre-TGE dossier — 32% TGE cliff vs 12m lock
Project: Variational ($VAR) Status: product live, token not live. TGE targeted Q4 2026. No open public ICO.
Goal On-chain booking, clearing and settlement for P2P derivatives (Omni / Pro). https://docs.variational.io/variational-protocol/overview
Tokenomics (official, 24 Sep 2026) https://docs.variational.io/token/usdvar
- Genesis airdrop 32%: 100% unlocked at TGE (cliff, not linear)
- Ecosystem reserve 18%: Foundation discretion, no published calendar
- Team + investors 50%: 12-month lock after TGE, then vest ≥3 years
- Intended policy: 100% of treasury-directed revenue to buy/burn VAR
FDV / circulating No live token price, so no market FDV today. Model TGE float as up to 32% unlocked. Do not treat the 18% reserve as locked.
Unlock / dilution TGE: 32% can hit immediately. M12+: 50% team/investor starts unlocking. 18% reserve = overhang until a schedule is published.
Team / verification Verifiable: live docs, mainnet contracts, audits page. https://docs.variational.io/technical-documentation/mainnet-contracts https://docs.variational.io/technical-documentation/audits Not published yet: exact team vs investor split inside the 50%.
Risks TGE sell pressure from unlocked airdrop; discretionary reserve; oracle/liquidation engine risk; TGE timing already slipped.
Disclosure: no $VAR position.