Community research · Posted article
Project Research Dossier: Predict.fun — BNB Chain Prediction Market
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Goal: Predict.fun is building a capital-efficient prediction market where collateral can earn yield while positions remain open, covering politics, sports, crypto, and short-duration markets with $6B+ cumulative volume and Binance backing.
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Tokenomics / Airdrop: Pre-TGE stage. No official supply, ticker, allocation, or vesting has been published yet. Predict Points (PP) are earned through trading and liquidity provision. (Assumption: ~8% allocation to points holders, though unconfirmed).
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TGE / Unlocks: Founder dingaling teased that a token launch is coming "weeks, not months." However, exact supply, snapshot, and investor cliffs remain undisclosed.
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Team + Backing: Founded by Ding (dingaling, ex-PancakeSwap background). Backed by YZi Labs and Susquehanna Crypto (which also provides liquidity).
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Tech / Verification: Live BNB Chain contracts, public SDK/API, Chainlink-powered oracles, and yield-bearing collateral via Venus.
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Key Risks: PP-to-token conversion could disappoint; immediate TGE sell pressure from points farming; oracle and smart-contract risks (especially via Venus); intense competition from Polymarket.
Disclosure: No holding, no grant, no paid allocation. Research for Legion Quest.
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